NFL WEEK 3 · BETTING PREVIEW
New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Offensive points matter more than the previous winning margin
Kickoff:
EverBank Stadium · Schedule
Public betting odds
| Team | Spread (price) | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | +3 (-115) | +130 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | -3 (-105) | -155 |
Total: 45.5 · Over -115 / Under -105
Market update: Jacksonville moved from -2.5 to -3 and the total from 44.5 to 45.5.
DraftKings via ESPN · Checked September 24, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET. A source-specific snapshot, not a guaranteed live offer or a placed wager.
What carries into this matchup
New England Patriots
New England Patriots beat Pittsburgh Steelers 20–3 on September 20, 2026. The offense finished with 6.2 yards per play, 0 touchdowns on 1 red-zone trips, 2 turnovers. TreVeyon Henderson carried 16 times for 76 yards. Box score · Scoring and play-by-play
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars lost to Denver Broncos 20–13 on September 20, 2026. The offense finished with 4.9 yards per play, 1 touchdowns on 2 red-zone trips, 1 turnover. Bhayshul Tuten carried 13 times for 65 yards. Box score · Scoring and play-by-play
My read from last week
The Steelers–Patriots under matched the game scenarios I expected. Jacksonville’s mistakes helped Denver; I want to carry forward the reasoning, not just the winning tickets.
Matchup analysis
New England’s defensive touchdown widened its last result; it should not be counted as a repeatable offensive possession. Jacksonville needs to finish drives and avoid the late errors that allowed Denver back in. Both sides have reasons to value ball security, but a low-scoring previous game alone is not a new under bet.
This preview will be updated as the week develops. Current odds are not a betting recommendation. Only wager what you can afford to lose.